tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-756507501760454215.post6976263472651777538..comments2024-02-05T19:23:24.438-06:00Comments on Where there's a William ...: The opportune momentWill Brownhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13454533450309633627noreply@blogger.comBlogger2125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-756507501760454215.post-41866810426190479462007-12-17T10:22:00.000-06:002007-12-17T10:22:00.000-06:00Hi Fin,FARC's reputation is that they can recruit,...Hi Fin,<BR/><BR/>FARC's reputation is that they can recruit, train and arm troops capable of going head-to-head with Colombian National troops for pretty extensive infantry action's. I'm pretty sure all they need is additional money and time to form and train-up additional units. Plus more money to fund logistical support in a foreign theater of operation.<BR/><BR/>Now, add in the purely foreign interests (not all of them middle-eastern in origin, I should point out) known to be operating in the triangular region of northern-most Argentina and north-western-most Paraguay (conveniently, immediately to the south of the Bolivian succession line of demarcation), and you will see there is no shortage of candidates to supply added nuance to an already turbulant situation. <BR/><BR/>If open fighting breaks out between government and successionist forces, and the successionist's are able to hold their own for even a few weeks, then I think we will begin to see third-(fourth, fifth, ..., <I>nth</I>)power forces begin to operate in support of their own aganda(s). Somehow, I doubt Hugo or anybody else is willing to give the proven interventionist George Bush Administration an easy <I>cause celebre</I> opportunity quite this early in the thing, you know? Any number of players in this thing might be some degree of crazy, but given their positions at the start of things, I think it fair to say they're not outright stupid.<BR/><BR/>This thing could go real bad, real fast, but not right out of the gate, I think. You've got to let the mob feel some significant pain for a while in order to get them to kill first and only after start to steal. Evo's got some "personnel management" to do yet.Will Brownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13454533450309633627noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-756507501760454215.post-19869075944289326742007-12-17T08:49:00.000-06:002007-12-17T08:49:00.000-06:00Will the four provinces settle for a negotiated se...Will the four provinces settle for a negotiated semi-autonomy? <BR/><BR/>Primitives like Evo and his supporters are always ready to kill. More advanced Bolivians such as those in the Eastern provinces have more to lose. If Evo wised up enough to decide to ease up on his dictatorial slide, and economic squeeze on the affluent, he could avert a crisis.<BR/><BR/>FARC (and regional marxist insurgent groups) wants in on the action, to be sure. They just need some weapons and money from Hugo Chavez and friends.al finhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13739269791915017382noreply@blogger.com